Insider Newsletter- Bitcoin Could See a Drop in Q2, Plus XRP Is Surging | 03-28-2025

Welcome to this week’s edition of our Insights Newsletter! 

A summary of this week's highlights: Ripple's SEC battle nears its end, paving the way for institutional adoption. Meanwhile, Bitcoin enters Q2—a historically weak period for crypto. 

As for our weekly webinars, Ben and Roman talked about market ranges and how you can capitalize on sideways market movements, while our Q&A webinar focused on DCA strategies and using webhooks to execute automated trades. 

Catch all the details below!

WHAT HAPPENED THIS WEEK

• Weekly Webinars:  Live educational webinar with Ben & Cata, sharing valuable tips about DCA in crypto trading+our Smart Money webinar centered around trading strategies in a sideways market.
• Breaking News of the Week: XRP Lawsuit Nears the End - SEC Keeps $50M, Ripple Eyes Institutional Investors & ETF Hopes Rise
• Technical Analysis Highlight: Bitcoin’s Q2 Warning - History Says a Post-Rally Drop Is Coming
• Crypto Trading Tools – Trading Platforms for Bot Trading–Where Automation Meets Opportunity
• Tutorial: How to Calculate Position Size with Altrady’s Risk-Based Size Calculator
• Macro-Economic Update: US Economy Grows 2.4% in Q4 2024
• Wallet Inflows & Outflows Report: A Red Week Marked by Significant Outflows for Bitcoin and Ethereum
• Economic Trends Affecting Crypto Markets: Fed Uncertainty, Inflation Woes & Stock Market Turmoil
• Key Macroeconomic Insights: Fed Inflation Dilemma, Global Recession Warnings & Europe’s Market Shake-Up

Weekly Live Educational Webinars—Range Trading+DCA Strategies and Automation

In this week’s Smart Money webinar series, Ben and Roman talked in-depth about trading ranges, particularly the accumulation and distribution phases,  and the common trading strategies for sideways markets.

In case you missed it, you can watch the recording here 👇

Yesterday, Ben & Cata took a deep dive into dollar-cost averaging (DCA) automation strategies for trading bots. The two also revealed some practical lessons they learned from past trades and showed the step-by-step process of setting up automated DCA with webhooks.

For this one too, you can watch the recording here 👇

Breaking News-Final Chapter for Ripple vs SEC?

Ripple's Chief Legal Officer has announced that the $XRP lawsuit with the SEC is entering its final legal phase. The SEC will keep $50M of the initial $125M fine and return the rest to Ripple.

Key impact? Ripple may soon be able to offer XRP to institutional investors, potentially boosting market liquidity and influencing ETF approval odds.

Last week, the SEC officially dropped its case, marking the end of one of the most significant crypto enforcement actions under Gary Gensler’s tenure.

Is this the breakthrough XRP needed? 

Drop your opinion on this on X!

Technical Analysis Highlight

This week’s top technical analysis:

HISTORY REPEATS ITSELF?

The second quarter has historically been bearish for crypto! 

Statistical analysis of the past 4 years confirms that after a Q1 rally, Bitcoin $BTC has always faced declines in Q2.

Will 2025 break the pattern? Or will the 100% accuracy of this trend hold strong once again? 

Let us know your opinions on Discord!

Trading Platforms for Bot Trading–Where Automation Meets Opportunity

If you’re tired of watching charts like a hawk with insomnia, crypto trading bots could be exactly what you need.

Trading bots analyze signals, execute trades, and make sure you don’t miss a beat (or a dip). Whether it’s scalping, arbitrage, or grid trading, automation is changing the game.

Altrady takes it a step further with proprietary bots that work seamlessly on its platform and play nicely with third-party tools. 

👉 Read more here to learn how platforms with bots can upgrade your trading strategy.

Tutorial: How to Calculate Position Size with Altrady’s Risk-Based Size Calculator

Are you using the same position size for every trade? That’s like wearing the same outfit for every occasion—risky and, mostly, ineffective. 

Enter Altrady’s Risk-Based Size Calculator—your new best friend for smarter, more consistent risk management. You can easily integrate this game-changing tool into your trading routine, so you can trade with precision, not just gut feelings.

Ready to level up your strategy? 

Watch this tutorial below!

Macro-Economic Update

Key Data This Week:

US Economy Grows 2.4% in Q4 2024

The latest revision shows stronger-than-expected growth at 2.4%, up from 2.3%. Imports fell more than anticipated (-1.9% vs. -1.2%), boosting net trade. Government spending rose (3.1% vs. 2.9%), while fixed investment contracted less (-1.1% vs. -1.4%).

Personal consumption remains the main driver, up 4%, though slightly lower than 4.2% prior. Goods spending accelerated (6.2% vs. 6.1%), while services slowed (3% vs. 3.3%). Private inventories dragged growth by -0.84 pp.

A strong economy means the Fed might delay rate cuts, keeping liquidity tight—not ideal for risk assets like Bitcoin. Plus, a stronger dollar could put pressure on prices. But on the flip side, if investors see growth as a green light for risk, we could get a fresh wave of momentum.

Resilient demand and trade shifts kept growth steady. More insights coming soon!

Event: Final GDP q/q
Date: 27/03/2025

Wallet Inflows & Outflows Weekly Report

Top 2 Cryptocurrencies (BTC, ETH)

A Red Week Marked by Significant Outflows for Bitcoin and Ethereum

Over the past week, both Bitcoin and Ethereum have experienced a period of positive price action on the stock charts. However, a deeper analysis of wallet inflows and outflows reveals an interesting market dynamic.

For nearly the entire week, there were no significant movements in wallet activity for either cryptocurrency. The exception came on two specific days: March 25 for Bitcoin and March 23 for Ethereum, where substantial outflows were recorded. These outflows suggest that investors might be taking profits or repositioning their holdings after the recent upward momentum in the market.

Market Overview

This trend may indicate cautious investor sentiment, with traders securing gains rather than increasing their positions. Monitoring future wallet activity will be crucial in assessing whether these movements signal a shift in market direction or merely short-term profit-taking.

Economic Trends Affecting Crypto Markets

Crypto Caught in the Crossfire: Fed Uncertainty, Inflation Woes & Stock Market Turmoil!

Bitcoin and Ethereum stayed mostly stable this week, but macroeconomic trends kept investors cautious. The Federal Reserve’s uncertainty around rate cuts in 2025, mixed inflation data, and stock market volatility all played a role in keeping crypto markets in check. 

Tech stocks had a rough week, and since Bitcoin often moves with the Nasdaq, momentum was muted. 

Geopolitical tensions added to market hesitation, preventing strong breakouts. 

As we head into next week, all eyes are on central bank signals—if we get clearer policies, we might see fresh action in the crypto space.

Key Macroeconomic Insights

Fed Inflation Dilemma, Global Recession Warnings & Europe’s Market Shake-Up!

Uncertainty dominates this week’s economic outlook, with the Fed weighing inflation risks from Trump 2.0’s tariffs and investors bracing for a possible global recession, reflected in the latest stock market correction. Economists put the recession odds at 35%, which could impact crypto liquidity flows. 

Meanwhile, Europe’s economy is showing signs of revival, with equities outperforming U.S. markets, potentially shifting capital away from speculative assets like crypto. 

With inflation fears, rate decisions, and shifting market dynamics in play, expect continued volatility in Bitcoin and altcoins.

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DISCLAIMER: None of this is financial advice. This newsletter is here to educate, not to tell you where to put your money. It’s not investment advice or a sales pitch—just solid info to help you think smarter. Always do your homework and research carefully!