Insider Newsletter - Whales Buy Bitcoin as U.S. Faces Shutdown | 10-03-2025

Welcome to this week’s edition of our Insights Newsletter! 

A summary of this week's highlights: U.S. officially entered a government shutdown, while macro data revealed the sharpest private-sector job losses since 2023. In crypto, Bitcoin moved in line with prior technical analysis, with whales accumulating as Ethereum faced profit-taking. Broader economic trends, including ETF flows, options volatility, and ongoing U.S. scrutiny, added pressure to crypto markets, while weak U.S. confidence contrasted with an uptick in PMI and growing capital inflows into Asia.

In this week’s webinars, Ben and Roman hosted another backtesting session, where they initiated trades around big crypto events to see the outcome and explained more about liquidity traps.

In the market overview webinar, they showcased a Bitcoin swing trade and how to apply smart money concepts on Ethereum trades. 

Yesterday, Ben and Raffa tested new setups and coins with the Quick Scanner, tracking multiple coins.

WHAT HAPPENED THIS WEEK

• Weekly Webinars: Ben and Roman held their usual backtesting session, where they executed trades during key crypto events to study their effects. Ben and Raffa led another scalping session using Altrady’s Quick Scan.
• Breaking News of the Week: US Officially Enters Shutdown
• Technical Analysis Highlight: Bitcoin Perfectly Follows our Social Media Analysis, Price by Price
• Crypto Trading Strategies: How to Spot the Traps from Bulls and Bears
• Tutorial: How to Schedule Multiple DCA Orders in Seconds
• Macro-Economic Update: U.S. Private Sector Suffers Sharpest Job Loss Since 2023
• Wallet Inflows & Outflows Report: Whales Accumulate Bitcoin as Ethereum Sees Profit-Taking
• Economic Trends Affecting Crypto Markets: ETF Shifts, Options Volatility & U.S. Scrutiny Weigh on Crypto Markets
• Key Macroeconomic Insights: Weak U.S. Confidence, PMI Uptick, and Asia’s Capital Inflows

Weekly Live Educational Webinar—Backtesting, Market Overview+Scalping Strategies

In this week’s fresh backtesting walkthrough, Ben and Roman placed trades timed with major crypto events to analyze their impact. Along the way, they broke down how liquidity traps work and how you can spot them.

Catch all the details below:

On Wednesday, Ben and Roman provided further insights into Bitcoin swing trading and how it’s different from ETH trading, and explained once more why many traders confuse order blocks with Fair Value Gaps.

You can watch the recording here 👇

In yesterday’s live scalping session, Ben and Raffa showcased a strategic HOT/USDT trade using the Quick Scanner to spot volatility and apply a cost-averaging approach with layered buy orders, reducing the break-even point and boosting profit potential.

For this one too, you check the recording here 👇

Breaking News

US Officially Enters Shutdown

Bitcoin rallies as the US government shuts down and private sector jobs decline.

The federal shutdown hit at midnight after Congress failed to pass a temporary spending bill. ADP shocks with record drop in private employment.

Despite the chaos, both $BTC and Altcoins jump — markets betting on possible rate cuts ahead.

👉 Leave your thoughts about this on X!

Technical Analysis Highlight

Bitcoin perfectly follows our social media analysis, price by price

29th September - Potent reaction at Wall Street’s open.

BTC is now nearing the $115K threshold, exactly in line with the position levels previously shared.

1st October - Super spike just lit up BTC — blasted past $116K and nailed the option strikes we called days ago.

Target confirmed.  Precision strike: hit & sunk.

👉Let us know your opinions on Discord!

How to Spot Bull and Bear Traps in Crypto

Think you’ve nailed your breakout strategy? Think again.

The traps that bulls and bears often try to set are the silent killers of crypto trades – engineered by whales and algorithms to drain liquidity and exploit emotions. One minute you’re riding a breakout, the next you’re liquidated.

In this blog post, we reveal 7 advanced techniques to spot these traps before they wreck your positions, from OBV divergence to on-chain signals and DEX pool patterns.

👉 Don’t trade blind. [Read the full post about bull and bear traps.]

Tutorial: Stack Your DCA Orders in Seconds, Not Hours

If you’re tired of placing DCA orders one by one, Altrady gives you a faster way to trade smarter.

We’ll show you how to use Ladder Orders in Altrady to set up multiple buy or sell orders in seconds. Whether you prefer linear, exponential, or Fibonacci price scales, this tool helps you automate your entries and exits with precision, no more manual hassle.

Watch now and learn how to streamline your strategy and stay ahead in volatile markets.

Macro-Economic Update

Key Data This Week:

U.S. Private Sector Suffers Sharpest Job Loss Since 2023

U.S. private businesses unexpectedly cut 32,000 jobs in September, marking the steepest decline since March 2023 and the second consecutive monthly loss, the first such streak since 2020. The downturn was led by service industries, particularly leisure and hospitality (-19K) and professional/business services (-13K), while modest gains in education and health (+33K) failed to offset the weakness. Pay growth for job-stayers held steady at 4.5%, while job-changers saw slower gains at 6.6%, signaling a cooling labor market momentum.

Event: ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
Date: 01/10/2025

Wallet Inflows & Outflows Weekly Report

Top 2 Cryptocurrencies (BTC, ETH)

Whales Accumulate Bitcoin as Ethereum Sees Profit-Taking

The first week of October saw strong activity in major crypto wallets, with significant inflows into Bitcoin supporting its rebound after last week’s sharp drop. As anticipated, whales accumulated BTC at discounted prices during the decline. 

In contrast, Ethereum recorded notable outflows, a clear sign of profit-taking by large holders.

Economic Trends Affecting Crypto Markets

ETF Shifts, Options Volatility & U.S. Scrutiny Weigh on Crypto Markets

Crypto markets moved on three clear economic and regulatory fronts: ETF flows and approvals, large options expiries, and heightened U.S. regulatory scrutiny. 

Spot ETF activity and shifting listing rules continued to shape liquidity, regulators have streamlined ETF listing standards and asked issuers to amend filings, accelerating the pipeline of new crypto ETFs into Q4. 

Options expiries — roughly $17B of BTC/ETH contracts concentrated around the end of September — added a near-term volatility overlay as traders positioned for expiry-driven squeezes. 

Meanwhile, U.S. probes into unusual stock moves ahead of companies’ crypto-treasury announcements raised fresh insider-trading concerns and increased compliance risk for firms and investors.

Key Macroeconomic Insights

Weak U.S. Confidence, PMI Uptick, and Asia’s Capital Inflows

U.S. manufacturing showed a modest stabilization, ISM’s manufacturing PMI inched up to 49.1, remaining in contraction territory but signaling softer downside pressure on industry. 

Consumer confidence in the U.S. deteriorated, slipping to 94.2 in September, the lowest in five months, as households expressed growing concerns over inflation and job prospects. 

Globally, the IMF flagged a patchy inflation outlook, noting that while U.S. firms have absorbed tariff impacts for now, demand is cooling in key exporting nations like China. 

In Asia, capital flows are diverging from the U.S. narrative, as ex-China Asia has drawn ~$100B in inflows over recent months as global investors rebalance toward growth and structural themes.

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DISCLAIMER: None of this is financial advice. This newsletter is here to educate, not to tell you where to put your money. It’s not investment advice or a sales pitch—just solid info to help you think smarter. Always do your homework and research carefully!